Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 10.284763 11.423868 12.649487 14.068294 15.668068 17.418962 19.484296
2025-08-10 8.166793 9.669596 11.405978 13.568975 16.202824 19.320494 23.311915
2025-08-17 6.771245 8.444726 10.494563 13.208600 16.735081 21.199362 27.337838
2025-08-24 5.816956 7.577240 9.842150 13.001198 17.342786 23.171922 31.712439
2025-08-31 5.136631 6.946362 9.376166 12.923101 18.045724 25.295081 36.545727
2025-09-07 4.713412 6.592714 9.215053 13.205729 19.239267 28.207198 42.902435
2025-09-14 4.258613 6.132451 8.835929 13.102481 19.818865 30.247481 48.193341
2025-09-21 3.836814 5.668771 8.391163 12.829361 20.074390 31.778720 52.844177
2025-09-28 3.518935 5.324527 8.082688 12.718264 20.549696 33.688077 58.377104
2025-10-05 3.365684 5.216054 8.122218 13.159886 21.974449 37.348571 67.564957
2025-10-12 3.217423 5.098588 8.130703 13.541599 23.328677 41.043850 77.398538
2025-10-19 3.029255 4.897045 7.978487 13.623576 24.146997 43.852808 85.939684
2025-10-26 2.805572 4.622007 7.685802 13.441212 24.486382 45.860970 93.328322
2025-11-02 2.597303 4.356180 7.385912 13.215342 24.718833 47.699578 100.711818
2025-11-09 2.409058 4.109487 7.097547 12.979691 24.901746 49.460933 108.249945
2025-11-16 2.251996 3.905146 6.866966 12.829006 25.234357 51.575623 116.996925
2025-11-23 2.123287 3.741520 6.696375 12.776549 25.760781 54.176506 127.409863
2025-11-30 2.049415 3.672867 6.697270 13.067290 27.052713 58.667614 143.473974
2025-12-07 1.935129 3.518717 6.520200 12.970670 27.478077 61.215990 154.969860
2025-12-14 1.811451 3.337158 6.274348 12.703094 27.482532 62.757422 164.029028
2025-12-21 1.715511 3.202393 6.110331 12.594361 27.838601 65.205401 176.156253
2025-12-28 1.682363 3.189201 6.190965 13.031701 29.545179 71.323262 200.469073
2026-01-04 1.644544 3.163510 6.243120 13.409503 31.155405 77.449703 226.306788